Home > economy, EU Affair, politics > Obama, Lagarde, Draghi: come back here, Angela

Obama, Lagarde, Draghi: come back here, Angela

ObamaMerkelWho thought that it closed the game of poker in the eurozone doing his whole pot and leaving in his underwear Alexis Tsipras, you see now forced to sit at another table with another player. It ‘a game of two, intended to make it clear several things. After making their voices heard several times during the negotiations, after inviting and then pushed for an honorable agreement with Athens he was, in the end the US administration was forced to intervene in another way, more persuasive. If the couple Angela Merkel – Wolfgang Schaeuble in the most dramatic days of negotiations has made it clear that Europe does not exist, there is only Germany who decides for all (and in fact at the decisive moment the European institutions have literally disappeared, starting from ‘ evanescent Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker), the United States show all their weight on the main creditor of Greece, the International Monetary Fund in Washington, after having given the green light along with all the others on the ground grudgingly signed by Tsipras Monday morning, now threatening to break the bank because that plan, without a cut debt greek, is clearly unsustainable. A backtrack rather curious, which is coupled the diplomatic offensive launched by the Obama administration that has decided to send to Europe the US Treasury Secretary Jacob Lew, to meet ECB President Mario Draghi and then go to Berlin and then Paris . Objective of the trip, according to reports from the office of the Secretary to the Treasury, is the continuation of the dialogue with the European partners on the Greek situation.

MerkelLagardeThere are three factors pushing the US to enter with force and induce the Europeans to reconsider the agreement. The first is the fear that a solution financially, economically and socially sustainable which is the one that was profiled with the plan approved Monday will give his side, even in the short, new destabilizing shocks, can undermine the foundations of the already weak economic growth. Not surprisingly, the IMF in its new report on Germany writes that “the risk of renewed stress in the euro area has increased and the main short-term risk is that the tensions will spread and could undermine confidence and economic growth, weaken private consumption and delay the expected recovery of private investment. ” A Europe back into recession or simply a zero growth is a luxury the United States can not afford. This would be enough, but there’s more. Greece is a country born in a strategic position: an agreement so humiliating is destabilizing the political point of view – already seen, with the ruling coalition losing pieces and the same party that Tzipras breaks. The point is that humiliation does not push in the middle, that is towards the Atlanticist and moderate forces, also because they and their governments have led to the ruin of Greece, but to extreme wings uncontrollable. Political instability at this level in a strategic country for proximity to the Middle East chessboard is a problem even bigger than the financial one, especially in light of the balances that are changing following the signing of the historic agreement with Iran on the nuclear issue.

Draghi MerkelThe third factor is the role of Germany, his move now from the hegemonic power in Europe without counterweight: this is perhaps the biggest concern, especially in light of the policy that the United States and NATO are waging against Russia. A weak Europe is not helping the United States, but Europe colonized by Germany creates enormous problems. Hence the decision to exercise its influence (and role of power) to put into play what others had imposed. Only in the next few days you will understand how and to what extent this re-discussion can help heal the deep wounds that were opened with the laying of the floor to Greece, but the Obama administration is offering a unique opportunity to European take back the ball and to question several things, starting from the austerity and who decides what.

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Categorie:economy, EU Affair, politics
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